More reasons to be concerned and a study of where to focus for stagflation regimes.
Thanks for your thoughtful article.
I just looked up XRT on fidelity. It has over 500% shorted shares as of end of Feb.
I don’t know if this would warrants enough worry for the shorts? Thanks again.
extremely useful. like the style too.
Only been reading your comments for a few weeks Mr Blonde, and I'll say these short and direct pieces are better than 99% of the sell side research and Macro musing I read at work. Appreciate the content, even if don't agree with all of it. Impressive.
Like everyone, I've been puzzling over where the world is at and where it might be headed. I have always tilted toward these types of stocks even though they aren't always growing and blowing - profitability matters, eventually. A large part of my holdings are already in Vanguard Dividend Appreciation and Healthcare. I have been researching quality factors and as I am drawn more to ETF's versus individual stocks I have been looking at QUAL, TTAC, COWZ, SYLD. That led me here and some great analysis - thanks so much!
First time caller, Long time fan Mr. Blonde. Been in markets for 30 years. Try to be fresh and not dogmatic in thinking. You are helping that process. Thank you Mr. Blonde. #makingadifference
Why not more commodity exposed equities in the long side screen?
Brill as always. Listened to your recent podcast as well, lovely stuff 👏
This is very valuable content - great data-driven insights. One thing wonders me - what Mr. Blonde's position sizing rules are. One may have the best analysis but still, lose lots of money on inadequate trade sizes.
Geopolitics. Slowing growth. 2nd & 3rd order consequences from 1st level decisions taken. Unknown unknowns in addition to inflation relative to CB’s bad judgment over past 10-15 yrs.
What could be worse ? Hot war? Not too far away.
Add it all up & most independent thinking investors should have & must today position themselves for another 20% downside or worse.
Meaning if in the best of scenarios, one survives Mosul/Aleppo urban warfare in Kiev factored 2/3x.
Then, looking at the most high quality conservative growth names that will survive this 2022/23 onslaught are the new safe havens.
Ditto - CHF won’t do too badly either but nobody really cares.